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Sunday 25 November 2012, 17:15 Dimotiko Stadio Perivolion Full time
21% 29% 49%
Home win
21.2%
Draw
29.4%
Away win
49.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Platanias 21.2% 4.72
Draw 29.4% 3.40
Panathinaikos 49.5% 2.02

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.8% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.2% 8.17
Over 1.5 64.4% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.6% 2.81
Over 2.5 36.8% 2.72
Under 2.5 63.2% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.4% 5.76
Under 3.5 82.6% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.9% 14.56
Under 4.5 93.1% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.7% 2.40
No 58.3% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Platanias / Draw 50.5% 1.98
Platanias / Panathinaikos 70.6% 1.42
Draw / Panathinaikos 78.8% 1.27

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.2
14.9
10.7
4.9
1.7
0.5
1
8.4
13.3
8.6
3.9
1.3
0.4
2
3.7
5.0
3.4
1.6
0.5
0.1
3
1.0
1.3
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Platanias goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.