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Sunday 9 December 2012, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
28% 30% 43%
Home win
27.8%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
42.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 27.8% 3.60
Draw 29.6% 3.38
Olympiakos Piraeus 42.6% 2.35

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.9% 9.15
Over 1.5 67.4% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.6% 3.07
Over 2.5 40.1% 2.50
Under 2.5 59.9% 1.67
Over 3.5 19.8% 5.05
Under 3.5 80.2% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.2% 12.14
Under 4.5 91.8% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.5% 2.15
No 53.5% 1.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 57.4% 1.74
Panathinaikos / Olympiakos Piraeus 70.4% 1.42
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 72.2% 1.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.9
12.4
8.5
3.7
1.2
0.3
1
9.3
13.8
8.4
3.6
1.2
0.3
2
5.0
6.5
4.2
1.8
0.6
0.2
3
1.7
2.1
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.