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Saturday 9 February 2013, 17:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
3–1
HT 2–1
62% 25% 13%
Home win
62.2%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
13.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 62.2% 1.61
Draw 24.6% 4.07
OFI 13.2% 7.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.9% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.1% 9.88
Over 1.5 68.8% 1.45
Under 1.5 31.2% 3.20
Over 2.5 41.9% 2.39
Under 2.5 58.2% 1.72
Over 3.5 21.2% 4.72
Under 3.5 78.8% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.0% 11.07
Under 4.5 91.0% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.8% 2.51
No 60.2% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 86.8% 1.15
PAOK / OFI 75.4% 1.33
Draw / OFI 37.8% 2.64

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.1
5.6
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
15.5
11.2
3.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.8
9.0
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
7.8
5.1
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
3.3
2.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.1
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: OFI goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.