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Saturday 19 January 2013, 19:30 Gipedo Astera Tripolis Full time
36% 32% 32%
Home win
36.2%
Draw
31.9%
Away win
31.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 36.2% 2.76
Draw 31.9% 3.13
PAOK 31.9% 3.14

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.4% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.6% 7.34
Over 1.5 61.7% 1.62
Under 1.5 38.3% 2.61
Over 2.5 33.8% 2.96
Under 2.5 66.2% 1.51
Over 3.5 15.3% 6.54
Under 3.5 84.7% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.8% 17.33
Under 4.5 94.2% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.0% 2.38
No 58.0% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 68.1% 1.47
Asteras Tripolis / PAOK 68.1% 1.47
Draw / PAOK 63.8% 1.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.6
11.8
6.2
2.0
0.5
0.1
1
12.9
14.3
6.7
2.2
0.5
0.1
2
7.3
7.2
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
2.6
2.6
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.