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Sunday 2 June 2013, 20:30 Stadio Zosimades Full time
1–2
HT 1–0
31% 34% 36%
Home win
30.7%
Draw
33.6%
Away win
35.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina 30.7% 3.26
Draw 33.6% 2.97
PAOK 35.7% 2.80

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.9% 1.19
Under 0.5 16.1% 6.19
Over 1.5 56.7% 1.76
Under 1.5 43.3% 2.31
Over 2.5 28.9% 3.45
Under 2.5 71.1% 1.41
Over 3.5 12.1% 8.26
Under 3.5 87.9% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.2% 23.78
Under 4.5 95.8% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.7% 2.65
No 62.3% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina / Draw 64.3% 1.55
PAS Giannina / PAOK 66.4% 1.51
Draw / PAOK 69.3% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.1
14.3
7.4
2.4
0.6
0.1
1
12.9
14.3
6.6
2.2
0.5
0.1
2
6.1
6.0
2.9
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
1.8
1.8
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAS Giannina goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.