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Saturday 24 August 2013, 21:30 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
29% 30% 40%
Home win
29.2%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
40.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 29.2% 3.42
Draw 30.4% 3.29
Panathinaikos 40.3% 2.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.2% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.8% 8.49
Over 1.5 65.6% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.4% 2.90
Over 2.5 38.0% 2.63
Under 2.5 62.0% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.2% 5.48
Under 3.5 81.8% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.3% 13.61
Under 4.5 92.7% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.1% 2.22
No 54.9% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 59.7% 1.68
Panionios / Panathinaikos 69.6% 1.44
Draw / Panathinaikos 70.8% 1.41

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.8
12.5
8.1
3.3
1.0
0.2
1
10.1
14.1
8.1
3.3
1.0
0.2
2
5.4
6.6
4.0
1.6
0.5
0.1
3
1.8
2.2
1.3
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.