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Thursday 9 May 2013, 20:00 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
52% 30% 18%
Home win
52.1%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
18.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 52.1% 1.92
Draw 29.8% 3.36
Xanthi FC 18.1% 5.52

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.0% 1.16
Under 0.5 14.0% 7.16
Over 1.5 60.7% 1.65
Under 1.5 39.3% 2.54
Over 2.5 32.9% 3.04
Under 2.5 67.1% 1.49
Over 3.5 14.7% 6.81
Under 3.5 85.3% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.5% 18.31
Under 4.5 94.5% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.1% 2.69
No 62.9% 1.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 81.9% 1.22
Panathinaikos / Xanthi FC 70.2% 1.42
Draw / Xanthi FC 47.9% 2.09

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.0
8.3
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
17.1
12.8
4.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.0
8.1
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
5.4
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
1.8
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.