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Sunday 18 August 2013, 21:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
65% 24% 11%
Home win
64.8%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
11.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 64.8% 1.54
Draw 24.1% 4.16
Panetolikos 11.2% 8.96

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.9% 9.20
Over 1.5 66.9% 1.49
Under 1.5 33.1% 3.02
Over 2.5 39.7% 2.52
Under 2.5 60.3% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.6% 5.11
Under 3.5 80.4% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.1% 12.37
Under 4.5 91.9% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.9% 2.78
No 64.1% 1.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 88.8% 1.13
Panathinaikos / Panetolikos 75.9% 1.32
Draw / Panetolikos 35.2% 2.84

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.9
5.2
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
17.0
10.5
2.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
15.0
8.5
2.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
8.6
4.8
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
3.7
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.3
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.