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Sunday 29 September 2013, 18:15 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
23% 29% 48%
Home win
23.2%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
47.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 23.2% 4.31
Draw 29.1% 3.44
PAOK 47.7% 2.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.8% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.2% 8.90
Over 1.5 66.7% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.3% 3.00
Over 2.5 39.2% 2.55
Under 2.5 60.8% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.2% 5.21
Under 3.5 80.8% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.9% 12.70
Under 4.5 92.1% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.5% 2.25
No 55.5% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 52.3% 1.91
OFI / PAOK 70.9% 1.41
Draw / PAOK 76.8% 1.30

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.2
13.7
9.9
4.6
1.6
0.4
1
8.5
13.4
8.7
4.0
1.4
0.4
2
4.1
5.6
3.8
1.8
0.6
0.2
3
1.2
1.6
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.