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Saturday 21 September 2013, 16:00 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis Full time
Asteras Tripolis
2–0
HT 0–0
AEL Kallonis
36% 32% 32%
Home win
35.7%
Draw
31.9%
Away win
32.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 35.7% 2.80 — —
Draw 31.9% 3.13 — —
AEL Kallonis 32.4% 3.09 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.4% 1.16 — —
Under 0.5 13.6% 7.37 — —
Over 1.5 61.8% 1.62 — —
Under 1.5 38.2% 2.62 — —
Over 2.5 33.9% 2.95 — —
Under 2.5 66.1% 1.51 — —
Over 3.5 15.4% 6.51 — —
Under 3.5 84.6% 1.18 — —
Over 4.5 5.8% 17.21 — —
Under 4.5 94.2% 1.06 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.1% 2.38 — —
No 57.9% 1.73 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 67.6% 1.48 — —
Asteras Tripolis / AEL Kallonis 68.1% 1.47 — —
Draw / AEL Kallonis 64.3% 1.56 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.6
11.9
6.3
2.1
0.5
0.1
1
12.7
14.3
6.7
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
7.2
7.2
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
2.5
2.5
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: AEL Kallonis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Asteras Tripolis
D D D W D
AEL Kallonis
L W W W

Head to head

Jan 2016 Asteras Tripolis 3-1 AEL Kallonis Sep 2015 AEL Kallonis 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Jan 2015 AEL Kallonis 1-0 Asteras Tripolis Sep 2014 Asteras Tripolis 1-0 AEL Kallonis Feb 2014 AEL Kallonis 0-2 Asteras Tripolis

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.