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Sunday 17 January 2016, 17:15 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis Full time
69% 21% 10%
Home win
68.8%
Draw
21.0%
Away win
10.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 68.8% 1.45
Draw 21.0% 4.76
AEL Kallonis 10.2% 9.85

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.9% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.1% 12.30
Over 1.5 73.4% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.6% 3.76
Over 2.5 47.6% 2.10
Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91
Over 3.5 26.0% 3.85
Under 3.5 74.0% 1.35
Over 4.5 12.0% 8.35
Under 4.5 88.0% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.1% 2.49
No 59.9% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 89.8% 1.11
Asteras Tripolis / AEL Kallonis 79.0% 1.27
Draw / AEL Kallonis 31.2% 3.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.1
4.1
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
14.3
9.7
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.6
9.0
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
9.6
5.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
4.7
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.8
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: AEL Kallonis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.