Sunday 21 September 2014, 16:00
Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis
Full time
68%
21%
11%
Home win
67.9%
Draw
20.8%
Away win
11.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.8% | 4.81 | — | — |
| AEL Kallonis | 11.3% | 8.84 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.3% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.2% | 7.06 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.8% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis / Draw | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Asteras Tripolis / AEL Kallonis | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / AEL Kallonis | 32.1% | 3.11 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
4.0
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.7
|
9.8
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.4
|
9.4
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.1
|
6.4
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.6
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.9
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2016
Asteras Tripolis
3-1
AEL Kallonis
Sep 2015
AEL Kallonis
1-1
Asteras Tripolis
Jan 2015
AEL Kallonis
1-0
Asteras Tripolis
Feb 2014
AEL Kallonis
0-2
Asteras Tripolis
Sep 2013
Asteras Tripolis
2-0
AEL Kallonis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.