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Saturday 17 May 2014, 20:30 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
50% 31% 20%
Home win
49.6%
Draw
30.8%
Away win
19.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 49.6% 2.01
Draw 30.8% 3.25
Asteras Tripolis 19.6% 5.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.4% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.6% 6.85
Over 1.5 59.5% 1.68
Under 1.5 40.5% 2.47
Over 2.5 31.7% 3.15
Under 2.5 68.3% 1.46
Over 3.5 13.9% 7.21
Under 3.5 86.1% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.1% 19.77
Under 4.5 94.9% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.0% 2.70
No 63.0% 1.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 80.4% 1.24
Atromitos / Asteras Tripolis 69.2% 1.44
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 50.4% 1.99

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.6
8.9
3.4
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
17.0
13.1
4.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
11.3
7.9
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
4.8
3.4
1.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
1.5
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.