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Saturday 31 August 2013, 19:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
36% 36% 29%
Home win
35.5%
Draw
35.6%
Away win
28.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis 35.5% 2.82
Draw 35.6% 2.81
PAS Giannina 28.9% 3.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 80.9% 1.24
Under 0.5 19.1% 5.23
Over 1.5 51.3% 1.95
Under 1.5 48.7% 2.05
Over 2.5 24.2% 4.14
Under 2.5 75.8% 1.32
Over 3.5 9.3% 10.80
Under 3.5 90.7% 1.10
Over 4.5 2.9% 34.07
Under 4.5 97.1% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.3% 3.00
No 66.7% 1.50

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis / Draw 71.1% 1.41
AEL Kallonis / PAS Giannina 64.4% 1.55
Draw / PAS Giannina 64.5% 1.55

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
19.1
13.7
5.7
1.5
0.3
0.0
1
15.9
13.9
5.2
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
7.5
6.0
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
2.3
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEL Kallonis goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.