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Sunday 25 August 2013, 19:15 Stadio Zosimades Full time
46% 30% 24%
Home win
45.5%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
24.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina 45.5% 2.20
Draw 30.3% 3.30
Apollon Smirnis 24.2% 4.14

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.4% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.6% 7.94
Over 1.5 63.7% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.3% 2.76
Over 2.5 36.0% 2.78
Under 2.5 64.0% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.8% 5.95
Under 3.5 83.2% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.6% 15.22
Under 4.5 93.4% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.3% 2.36
No 57.7% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina / Draw 75.8% 1.32
PAS Giannina / Apollon Smirnis 69.7% 1.44
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 54.5% 1.83

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.6
9.3
4.3
1.2
0.3
0.0
1
14.3
13.7
5.5
1.6
0.3
0.1
2
9.7
8.3
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
4.1
3.5
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.3
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAS Giannina goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.