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Sunday 9 March 2014, 17:15 OPAP-Dimotiko Gipedo Komotinis Full time
48% 29% 23%
Home win
47.8%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
23.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panthrakikos 47.8% 2.09
Draw 28.7% 3.48
Ergotelis 23.5% 4.26

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.29
Over 1.5 67.7% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.3% 3.10
Over 2.5 40.4% 2.47
Under 2.5 59.6% 1.68
Over 3.5 20.1% 4.97
Under 3.5 79.9% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.4% 11.91
Under 4.5 91.6% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.5% 2.20
No 54.5% 1.84

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panthrakikos / Draw 76.5% 1.31
Panthrakikos / Ergotelis 71.3% 1.40
Draw / Ergotelis 52.2% 1.92

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
8.3
4.1
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
13.3
13.4
5.7
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
9.8
8.8
4.0
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
4.6
4.1
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.6
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panthrakikos goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.