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Saturday 8 March 2014, 17:15 SKODA Xanthi Arena Full time
35% 31% 35%
Home win
34.7%
Draw
30.5%
Away win
34.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC 34.7% 2.88
Draw 30.5% 3.27
Asteras Tripolis 34.7% 2.88

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.4% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.6% 8.61
Over 1.5 65.9% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.1% 2.93
Over 2.5 38.4% 2.61
Under 2.5 61.6% 1.62
Over 3.5 18.5% 5.39
Under 3.5 81.5% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.5% 13.31
Under 4.5 92.5% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.8% 2.18
No 54.2% 1.85

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC / Draw 65.3% 1.53
Xanthi FC / Asteras Tripolis 69.5% 1.44
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 65.3% 1.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.6
11.2
6.7
2.5
0.7
0.2
1
11.2
14.2
7.4
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
6.7
7.4
4.1
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
2.5
2.8
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.7
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Xanthi FC goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.