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Saturday 31 August 2013, 19:15 SKODA Xanthi Arena Full time
53% 28% 19%
Home win
53.2%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
19.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC 53.2% 1.88
Draw 27.8% 3.60
Ergotelis 19.0% 5.27

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.0% 1.12
Under 0.5 11.0% 9.06
Over 1.5 67.0% 1.49
Under 1.5 33.0% 3.03
Over 2.5 39.6% 2.52
Under 2.5 60.4% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.5% 5.13
Under 3.5 80.5% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.0% 12.44
Under 4.5 92.0% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.8% 2.34
No 57.2% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC / Draw 81.0% 1.23
Xanthi FC / Ergotelis 72.2% 1.38
Draw / Ergotelis 46.8% 2.14

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.0
7.4
3.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
14.6
12.7
4.7
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.4
8.9
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
5.7
4.4
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.1
1.7
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Xanthi FC goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.