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Monday 26 August 2013, 21:30 Pankritio Stadio Full time
45% 29% 26%
Home win
45.4%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
25.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 45.4% 2.20
Draw 28.7% 3.49
Levadiakos 25.9% 3.86

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.9% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.1% 9.89
Over 1.5 69.3% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.7% 3.25
Over 2.5 42.2% 2.37
Under 2.5 57.8% 1.73
Over 3.5 21.5% 4.65
Under 3.5 78.5% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.2% 10.85
Under 4.5 90.8% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.7% 2.10
No 52.3% 1.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 74.1% 1.35
Ergotelis / Levadiakos 71.3% 1.40
Draw / Levadiakos 54.6% 1.83

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.1
8.4
4.5
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
12.2
13.5
6.3
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
9.0
8.8
4.3
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
4.2
4.1
2.0
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.4
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: Levadiakos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.