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Sunday 15 September 2013, 18:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
44% 29% 27%
Home win
43.8%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
26.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 43.8% 2.28
Draw 29.3% 3.42
Panthrakikos 26.9% 3.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.4% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.6% 9.40
Over 1.5 68.1% 1.47
Under 1.5 31.9% 3.13
Over 2.5 40.8% 2.45
Under 2.5 59.2% 1.69
Over 3.5 20.4% 4.90
Under 3.5 79.6% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.6% 11.68
Under 4.5 91.4% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.9% 2.13
No 53.1% 1.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 73.1% 1.37
Panionios / Panthrakikos 70.7% 1.41
Draw / Panthrakikos 56.2% 1.78

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.6
9.0
4.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
12.3
13.7
6.4
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
8.7
8.6
4.2
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
3.9
3.8
1.9
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
1.3
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Panthrakikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.