Saturday 2 November 2013, 17:15
Stadio Toumbas
Full time
69%
21%
10%
Home win
68.8%
Draw
21.1%
Away win
10.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.1% | 4.74 | — | — |
| Ergotelis | 10.1% | 9.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.2% | 12.16 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.8% | 8.48 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| No | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK / Draw | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| PAOK / Ergotelis | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Ergotelis | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.2
|
4.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.5
|
9.7
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.7
|
9.0
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.6
|
5.9
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.7
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2015
PAOK
1-0
Ergotelis
Nov 2014
Ergotelis
0-2
PAOK
Mar 2014
Ergotelis
2-2
PAOK
Jan 2012
PAOK
2-1
Ergotelis
Sep 2011
Ergotelis
2-1
PAOK
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.