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Sunday 2 November 2014, 15:00 Pankritio Stadio Full time
0–2
HT 0–1
25% 26% 48%
Home win
25.3%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
48.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 25.3% 3.95
Draw 26.3% 3.81
PAOK 48.4% 2.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.6% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.4% 13.51
Over 1.5 75.9% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.1% 4.15
Over 2.5 50.7% 1.97
Under 2.5 49.3% 2.03
Over 3.5 28.7% 3.49
Under 3.5 71.3% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.8% 7.26
Under 4.5 86.2% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.0% 1.85
No 46.0% 2.17

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 51.6% 1.94
Ergotelis / PAOK 73.7% 1.36
Draw / PAOK 74.7% 1.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.4
10.0
8.6
4.6
1.9
0.6
1
6.6
12.5
9.5
5.1
2.0
0.7
2
4.0
6.5
5.2
2.8
1.1
0.4
3
1.5
2.4
1.9
1.0
0.4
0.1
4
0.4
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.