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Sunday 19 October 2014, 20:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
2–1
HT 2–0
52% 29% 19%
Home win
52.1%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
19.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 52.1% 1.92
Draw 28.9% 3.46
Atromitos 19.0% 5.26

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.6% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.4% 8.06
Over 1.5 64.0% 1.56
Under 1.5 36.0% 2.78
Over 2.5 36.3% 2.75
Under 2.5 63.7% 1.57
Over 3.5 17.0% 5.87
Under 3.5 83.0% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.7% 14.93
Under 4.5 93.3% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.3% 2.48
No 59.7% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 81.0% 1.24
PAOK / Atromitos 71.1% 1.41
Draw / Atromitos 47.9% 2.09

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.4
7.9
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
15.7
12.9
4.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.5
8.6
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
5.4
4.0
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.9
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.