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Saturday 20 September 2014, 18:15 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
27% 34% 39%
Home win
26.6%
Draw
34.3%
Away win
39.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 26.6% 3.77
Draw 34.3% 2.91
Atromitos 39.1% 2.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.4% 1.21
Under 0.5 17.6% 5.67
Over 1.5 54.0% 1.85
Under 1.5 46.0% 2.17
Over 2.5 26.4% 3.78
Under 2.5 73.6% 1.36
Over 3.5 10.6% 9.45
Under 3.5 89.4% 1.12
Over 4.5 3.5% 28.49
Under 4.5 96.5% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.0% 2.86
No 65.0% 1.54

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 60.9% 1.64
OFI / Atromitos 65.7% 1.52
Draw / Atromitos 73.4% 1.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.6
16.1
8.5
2.9
0.7
0.1
1
12.3
13.9
6.6
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
5.1
5.1
2.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
1.3
1.3
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
4
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.