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Sunday 21 September 2014, 18:15 Panthessaliko Stadio Full time
42% 31% 27%
Home win
41.8%
Draw
31.4%
Away win
26.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Niki Volos 41.8% 2.39
Draw 31.4% 3.19
Ergotelis 26.8% 3.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.6% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.4% 7.47
Over 1.5 62.1% 1.61
Under 1.5 37.9% 2.64
Over 2.5 34.3% 2.92
Under 2.5 65.7% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.6% 6.41
Under 3.5 84.4% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.9% 16.85
Under 4.5 94.1% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.7% 2.40
No 58.3% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Niki Volos / Draw 73.2% 1.37
Niki Volos / Ergotelis 68.6% 1.46
Draw / Ergotelis 58.2% 1.72

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.4
10.4
5.0
1.5
0.3
0.1
1
14.1
14.0
5.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
8.8
7.8
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
3.5
3.1
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Niki Volos goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.