Saturday 25 October 2014, 19:30
Stadio Peristeriou
Full time
64%
24%
12%
Home win
63.8%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
12.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atromitos | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.1% | 4.16 | — | — |
| Ergotelis | 12.1% | 8.25 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.2% | 9.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.5% | 3.18 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.0% | 4.77 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.9% | 11.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.4% | 2.61 | — | — |
| No | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atromitos / Draw | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Atromitos / Ergotelis | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Ergotelis | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.2
|
5.3
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.0
|
10.8
|
3.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.4
|
8.8
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.3
|
5.1
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2015
Ergotelis
1-2
Atromitos
Jan 2014
Ergotelis
0-1
Atromitos
Aug 2013
Atromitos
2-2
Ergotelis
Apr 2012
Ergotelis
2-2
Atromitos
Dec 2011
Atromitos
1-0
Ergotelis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.