Saturday 3 December 2011, 17:15
Stadio Peristeriou
Full time
54%
28%
18%
Home win
54.0%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
17.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atromitos | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Ergotelis | 17.9% | 5.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.0% | 8.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.7% | 5.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.1% | 14.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.2% | 2.48 | — | — |
| No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atromitos / Draw | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Atromitos / Ergotelis | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Ergotelis | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.0
|
7.5
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.7
|
12.6
|
4.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.0
|
8.7
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.8
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2015
Ergotelis
1-2
Atromitos
Oct 2014
Atromitos
1-1
Ergotelis
Jan 2014
Ergotelis
0-1
Atromitos
Aug 2013
Atromitos
2-2
Ergotelis
Apr 2012
Ergotelis
2-2
Atromitos
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.