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Sunday 22 March 2015, 17:15 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
84% 12% 4%
Home win
83.7%
Draw
12.5%
Away win
3.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 83.7% 1.19
Draw 12.5% 8.03
AOK Kerkyra 3.9% 25.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.0% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.0% 19.81
Over 1.5 81.2% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.8% 5.31
Over 2.5 58.8% 1.70
Under 2.5 41.2% 2.43
Over 3.5 36.4% 2.74
Under 3.5 63.6% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.3% 5.17
Under 4.5 80.7% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.9% 3.04
No 67.1% 1.49

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 96.1% 1.04
Olympiakos Piraeus / AOK Kerkyra 87.5% 1.14
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 16.3% 6.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.0
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
12.1
5.7
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
16.2
7.0
1.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
14.2
6.1
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
9.3
4.0
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
4.9
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.