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Monday 28 November 2016, 19:30 Toumba Stadium Full time
3–4
HT 2–0
53% 29% 18%
Home win
53.4%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
17.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 53.4% 1.87
Draw 28.7% 3.48
Atromitos 17.9% 5.59

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.3% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.7% 7.87
Over 1.5 63.3% 1.58
Under 1.5 36.7% 2.73
Over 2.5 35.6% 2.81
Under 2.5 64.4% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.5% 6.04
Under 3.5 83.5% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.4% 15.56
Under 4.5 93.6% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.0% 2.56
No 61.0% 1.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 82.1% 1.22
PAOK / Atromitos 71.3% 1.40
Draw / Atromitos 46.6% 2.15

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.7
7.7
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
16.3
12.7
4.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.0
8.5
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
5.7
4.0
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
2.0
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.