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Sunday 6 November 2016, 19:30 Georgios Karaiskakis Full time
69% 20% 12%
Home win
68.5%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
11.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 68.5% 1.46
Draw 19.9% 5.04
Panathinaikos 11.6% 8.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 16.88
Over 1.5 79.4% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.6% 4.86
Over 2.5 55.9% 1.79
Under 2.5 44.1% 2.27
Over 3.5 33.5% 2.98
Under 3.5 66.5% 1.50
Over 4.5 17.2% 5.83
Under 4.5 82.8% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.0% 2.08
No 52.0% 1.92

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 88.4% 1.13
Olympiakos Piraeus / Panathinaikos 80.1% 1.25
Draw / Panathinaikos 31.5% 3.18

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
3.6
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
11.0
9.5
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.4
9.6
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
8.9
6.9
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
4.8
3.7
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
2.1
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.