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Saturday 3 January 2015, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
3–2
HT 2–2
73% 18% 9%
Home win
73.3%
Draw
17.7%
Away win
9.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 73.3% 1.36
Draw 17.7% 5.64
Panionios 9.0% 11.17

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.05
Over 1.5 80.3% 1.25
Under 1.5 19.7% 5.08
Over 2.5 57.3% 1.75
Under 2.5 42.7% 2.34
Over 3.5 34.9% 2.87
Under 3.5 65.1% 1.54
Over 4.5 18.2% 5.50
Under 4.5 81.8% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.1% 2.22
No 54.9% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 91.1% 1.10
PAOK / Panionios 82.3% 1.22
Draw / Panionios 26.7% 3.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
3.0
1.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
11.2
8.4
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
13.4
9.2
3.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
10.2
7.0
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
5.9
4.0
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
2.7
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.