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Sunday 30 August 2015, 19:15 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
77% 17% 7%
Home win
76.7%
Draw
16.6%
Away win
6.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 76.7% 1.30
Draw 16.6% 6.03
AEL Kallonis 6.7% 14.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.96
Over 1.5 78.0% 1.28
Under 1.5 22.0% 4.55
Over 2.5 54.1% 1.85
Under 2.5 45.9% 2.18
Over 3.5 31.8% 3.15
Under 3.5 68.3% 1.47
Over 4.5 15.9% 6.29
Under 4.5 84.1% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.1% 2.62
No 61.9% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 93.3% 1.07
Panathinaikos / AEL Kallonis 83.4% 1.20
Draw / AEL Kallonis 23.3% 4.30

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
2.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
13.0
7.7
2.0
0.4
0.0
0.0
2
15.4
8.4
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
11.8
6.4
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
6.8
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
3.1
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: AEL Kallonis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.