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Wednesday 3 June 2015, 18:15 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
61% 24% 15%
Home win
60.6%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
15.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 60.6% 1.65
Draw 24.5% 4.09
Asteras Tripolis 15.0% 6.69

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.0% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.0% 11.16
Over 1.5 71.7% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.3% 3.53
Over 2.5 45.3% 2.21
Under 2.5 54.7% 1.83
Over 3.5 24.0% 4.17
Under 3.5 76.0% 1.32
Over 4.5 10.7% 9.34
Under 4.5 89.3% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.0% 2.27
No 56.0% 1.78

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 85.0% 1.18
Panathinaikos / Asteras Tripolis 75.6% 1.32
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 39.4% 2.54

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.0
5.5
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
13.8
11.4
4.0
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.6
9.4
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
7.3
5.5
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
3.2
2.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.