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Monday 4 January 2016, 19:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
64% 24% 12%
Home win
63.6%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
12.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 63.6% 1.57
Draw 24.3% 4.12
Panetolikos 12.1% 8.25

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.6% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.4% 9.59
Over 1.5 68.0% 1.47
Under 1.5 32.0% 3.13
Over 2.5 41.0% 2.44
Under 2.5 59.0% 1.69
Over 3.5 20.5% 4.88
Under 3.5 79.5% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.6% 11.60
Under 4.5 91.4% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.9% 2.64
No 62.1% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 87.9% 1.14
Panathinaikos / Panetolikos 75.7% 1.32
Draw / Panetolikos 36.4% 2.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.4
5.4
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
16.2
10.8
3.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.4
8.8
2.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
8.2
5.0
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
3.5
2.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.