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Saturday 6 December 2014, 19:30 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
82% 14% 5%
Home win
81.6%
Draw
13.8%
Away win
4.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 81.6% 1.23
Draw 13.8% 7.25
PAS Giannina 4.7% 21.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.33
Over 1.5 80.1% 1.25
Under 1.5 19.9% 5.02
Over 2.5 57.2% 1.75
Under 2.5 42.8% 2.33
Over 3.5 34.8% 2.88
Under 3.5 65.3% 1.53
Over 4.5 18.1% 5.53
Under 4.5 81.9% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.7% 2.89
No 65.3% 1.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 95.3% 1.05
Olympiakos Piraeus / PAS Giannina 86.2% 1.16
Draw / PAS Giannina 18.5% 5.42

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
2.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
12.4
6.3
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
16.0
7.5
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
13.4
6.3
1.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
8.4
3.9
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
4.2
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.