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Sunday 21 December 2014, 17:15 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis Full time
60% 23% 17%
Home win
59.5%
Draw
23.2%
Away win
17.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 59.5% 1.68
Draw 23.2% 4.31
Xanthi FC 17.3% 5.78

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.35
Over 1.5 78.1% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.9% 4.56
Over 2.5 53.8% 1.86
Under 2.5 46.2% 2.17
Over 3.5 31.5% 3.17
Under 3.5 68.5% 1.46
Over 4.5 15.7% 6.36
Under 4.5 84.3% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.1% 1.92
No 47.9% 2.09

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 82.7% 1.21
Asteras Tripolis / Xanthi FC 76.8% 1.30
Draw / Xanthi FC 40.5% 2.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
4.9
2.6
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
10.6
11.0
4.8
1.5
0.4
0.1
2
10.6
9.9
4.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
6.7
6.3
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
3.2
3.0
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.2
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.