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Sunday 9 November 2014, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
53% 29% 19%
Home win
52.7%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
18.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 52.7% 1.90
Draw 28.6% 3.50
AEL Kallonis 18.8% 5.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.9% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.1% 8.25
Over 1.5 64.6% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.4% 2.82
Over 2.5 37.0% 2.70
Under 2.5 63.0% 1.59
Over 3.5 17.5% 5.70
Under 3.5 82.5% 1.21
Over 4.5 7.0% 14.37
Under 4.5 93.0% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.6% 2.46
No 59.4% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 81.2% 1.23
Panionios / AEL Kallonis 71.4% 1.40
Draw / AEL Kallonis 47.3% 2.11

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.1
7.7
3.1
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
15.5
12.8
4.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.6
8.6
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
5.5
4.1
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.0
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: AEL Kallonis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.