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Saturday 17 October 2015, 18:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
60% 24% 16%
Home win
59.7%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
16.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 59.7% 1.68
Draw 24.2% 4.12
AEL Kallonis 16.1% 6.22

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.8% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.2% 12.22
Over 1.5 73.6% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.4% 3.79
Over 2.5 47.8% 2.09
Under 2.5 52.2% 1.92
Over 3.5 26.1% 3.83
Under 3.5 73.9% 1.35
Over 4.5 12.1% 8.29
Under 4.5 87.9% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.8% 2.14
No 53.2% 1.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 83.9% 1.19
Panionios / AEL Kallonis 75.8% 1.32
Draw / AEL Kallonis 40.3% 2.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.2
5.5
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
12.7
11.5
4.4
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.9
9.6
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
7.0
5.7
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
3.1
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: AEL Kallonis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.