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Sunday 19 October 2014, 18:15 Stadio Municipal Full time
44% 30% 26%
Home win
43.8%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
26.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis 43.8% 2.28
Draw 29.8% 3.36
AOK Kerkyra 26.5% 3.78

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.82
Over 1.5 66.5% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.5% 2.98
Over 2.5 39.0% 2.56
Under 2.5 61.0% 1.64
Over 3.5 19.0% 5.26
Under 3.5 81.0% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.8% 12.86
Under 4.5 92.2% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.4% 2.20
No 54.6% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis / Draw 73.5% 1.36
AEL Kallonis / AOK Kerkyra 70.2% 1.42
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 56.2% 1.78

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
9.2
4.8
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
12.9
13.8
6.2
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
8.9
8.5
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
3.9
3.7
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.3
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEL Kallonis goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.