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Sunday 16 February 2014, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
41% 32% 27%
Home win
40.8%
Draw
31.9%
Away win
27.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 40.8% 2.45
Draw 31.9% 3.13
PAS Giannina 27.3% 3.67

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.9% 1.16
Under 0.5 14.1% 7.09
Over 1.5 60.7% 1.65
Under 1.5 39.3% 2.54
Over 2.5 32.8% 3.05
Under 2.5 67.2% 1.49
Over 3.5 14.6% 6.85
Under 3.5 85.4% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.4% 18.44
Under 4.5 94.6% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.5% 2.47
No 59.5% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 72.7% 1.37
Panionios / PAS Giannina 68.1% 1.47
Draw / PAS Giannina 59.2% 1.69

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.1
10.9
5.1
1.5
0.3
0.1
1
14.4
14.1
5.8
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
8.6
7.6
3.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
3.3
2.9
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.9
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.