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Wednesday 26 March 2014, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
42% 32% 26%
Home win
41.9%
Draw
32.5%
Away win
25.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 41.9% 2.39
Draw 32.5% 3.08
Panetolikos 25.6% 3.90

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.8% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.2% 6.59
Over 1.5 58.5% 1.71
Under 1.5 41.5% 2.41
Over 2.5 30.7% 3.26
Under 2.5 69.3% 1.44
Over 3.5 13.2% 7.57
Under 3.5 86.8% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.7% 21.14
Under 4.5 95.3% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.4% 2.60
No 61.6% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 74.4% 1.34
Panionios / Panetolikos 67.5% 1.48
Draw / Panetolikos 58.1% 1.72

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.2
10.9
4.8
1.3
0.3
0.0
1
15.4
14.0
5.4
1.5
0.3
0.0
2
9.1
7.4
3.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
3.4
2.8
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.