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Sunday 29 January 2012, 15:00 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
55% 32% 13%
Home win
55.4%
Draw
31.7%
Away win
12.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 55.4% 1.81
Draw 31.7% 3.15
Asteras Tripolis 12.9% 7.76

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 80.7% 1.24
Under 0.5 19.3% 5.18
Over 1.5 50.6% 1.98
Under 1.5 49.4% 2.02
Over 2.5 23.7% 4.23
Under 2.5 76.3% 1.31
Over 3.5 9.0% 11.14
Under 3.5 91.0% 1.10
Over 4.5 2.8% 35.51
Under 4.5 97.2% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 26.2% 3.82
No 73.8% 1.35

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 87.1% 1.15
Atromitos / Asteras Tripolis 68.3% 1.46
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 44.6% 2.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
19.3
7.8
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
22.4
10.9
2.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
14.1
6.3
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
5.8
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
1.8
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.