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Sunday 21 April 2013, 19:00 Stadio Toumbas Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
56% 28% 16%
Home win
56.3%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
15.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 56.3% 1.78
Draw 28.1% 3.55
PAS Giannina 15.6% 6.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.9% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.1% 7.64
Over 1.5 62.4% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.6% 2.66
Over 2.5 34.7% 2.88
Under 2.5 65.3% 1.53
Over 3.5 15.9% 6.29
Under 3.5 84.1% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.1% 16.41
Under 4.5 93.9% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.7% 2.72
No 63.3% 1.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 84.4% 1.18
PAOK / PAS Giannina 71.9% 1.39
Draw / PAS Giannina 43.7% 2.29

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.1
7.2
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
17.3
12.1
3.6
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
13.1
8.3
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
6.3
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
2.3
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.