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Saturday 9 March 2013, 19:30 Dimotiko Stadio Perivolion Full time
1–2
HT 1–2
27% 29% 44%
Home win
26.7%
Draw
29.4%
Away win
43.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Platanias 26.7% 3.74
Draw 29.4% 3.41
PAOK 43.9% 2.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.27
Over 1.5 67.7% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.3% 3.10
Over 2.5 40.4% 2.47
Under 2.5 59.6% 1.68
Over 3.5 20.1% 4.98
Under 3.5 79.9% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.4% 11.92
Under 4.5 91.6% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.5% 2.15
No 53.5% 1.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Platanias / Draw 56.1% 1.78
Platanias / PAOK 70.6% 1.42
Draw / PAOK 73.3% 1.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
12.5
8.8
3.9
1.3
0.3
1
9.0
13.7
8.6
3.8
1.3
0.3
2
4.8
6.3
4.2
1.8
0.6
0.2
3
1.6
2.1
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Platanias goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.