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Sunday 14 April 2013, 19:00 Stadio Zosimades Full time
58% 28% 14%
Home win
58.4%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
13.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina 58.4% 1.71
Draw 27.8% 3.59
AOK Kerkyra 13.7% 7.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.2% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.8% 7.27
Over 1.5 60.9% 1.64
Under 1.5 39.1% 2.56
Over 2.5 33.2% 3.01
Under 2.5 66.8% 1.50
Over 3.5 14.9% 6.72
Under 3.5 85.1% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.6% 17.98
Under 4.5 94.4% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.0% 2.94
No 66.0% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina / Draw 86.3% 1.16
PAS Giannina / AOK Kerkyra 72.2% 1.39
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 41.6% 2.41

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.8
6.8
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
18.5
11.6
3.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.0
8.0
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
6.8
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
2.5
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAS Giannina goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.