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Sunday 19 May 2013, 20:30 Gipedo Astera Tripolis Full time
43% 34% 23%
Home win
43.2%
Draw
33.7%
Away win
23.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 43.2% 2.31
Draw 33.7% 2.97
Atromitos 23.1% 4.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.6% 1.21
Under 0.5 17.4% 5.74
Over 1.5 54.2% 1.84
Under 1.5 45.8% 2.19
Over 2.5 26.7% 3.74
Under 2.5 73.3% 1.36
Over 3.5 10.7% 9.31
Under 3.5 89.3% 1.12
Over 4.5 3.6% 27.91
Under 4.5 96.4% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.4% 2.91
No 65.6% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 76.9% 1.30
Asteras Tripolis / Atromitos 66.3% 1.51
Draw / Atromitos 56.8% 1.76

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.4
11.1
4.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
17.2
13.6
4.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
9.7
6.9
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
3.5
2.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.9
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.