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Monday 2 September 2013, 19:15 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
54% 29% 17%
Home win
54.5%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
16.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 54.5% 1.83
Draw 28.9% 3.46
Aris Thessalonikis 16.6% 6.01

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.5% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.5% 7.43
Over 1.5 61.7% 1.62
Under 1.5 38.3% 2.61
Over 2.5 33.9% 2.95
Under 2.5 66.1% 1.51
Over 3.5 15.4% 6.51
Under 3.5 84.6% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.8% 17.21
Under 4.5 94.2% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.9% 2.71
No 63.1% 1.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 83.4% 1.20
Atromitos / Aris Thessalonikis 71.1% 1.41
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 45.5% 2.20

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.5
7.6
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
17.2
12.4
3.8
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
12.6
8.2
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
5.9
3.9
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
2.1
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.