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Sunday 15 September 2013, 16:00 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
52% 27% 20%
Home win
52.4%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
20.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 52.4% 1.91
Draw 27.5% 3.64
Levadiakos 20.1% 4.98

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.8% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.2% 9.76
Over 1.5 68.8% 1.45
Under 1.5 31.2% 3.21
Over 2.5 41.8% 2.39
Under 2.5 58.2% 1.72
Over 3.5 21.1% 4.73
Under 3.5 78.9% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.0% 11.12
Under 4.5 91.0% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.0% 2.22
No 55.0% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 79.9% 1.25
Aris Thessalonikis / Levadiakos 72.5% 1.38
Draw / Levadiakos 47.6% 2.10

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.2
7.3
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
13.7
12.8
5.1
1.4
0.3
0.1
2
10.9
9.1
3.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
5.5
4.6
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.1
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Levadiakos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.