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Monday 23 December 2013, 19:30 Stadio Zosimades Full time
53% 28% 18%
Home win
53.4%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
18.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina 53.4% 1.87
Draw 28.1% 3.56
Aris Thessalonikis 18.5% 5.41

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.4% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.6% 8.60
Over 1.5 65.7% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.3% 2.91
Over 2.5 38.2% 2.62
Under 2.5 61.8% 1.62
Over 3.5 18.4% 5.44
Under 3.5 81.6% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.4% 13.47
Under 4.5 92.6% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.3% 2.42
No 58.7% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina / Draw 81.5% 1.23
PAS Giannina / Aris Thessalonikis 71.9% 1.39
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 46.6% 2.15

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.6
7.5
3.1
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
15.2
12.7
4.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.7
8.8
3.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
5.7
4.3
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.1
1.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAS Giannina goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.