Monday 4 March 2013, 19:30
Stadio Verias
Full time
43%
32%
25%
Home win
42.9%
Draw
32.0%
Away win
25.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veria | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 25.1% | 3.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.6% | 6.85 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.9% | 7.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.1% | 19.64 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| No | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veria / Draw | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Veria / Aris Thessalonikis | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Aris Thessalonikis | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.6
|
10.5
|
4.6
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.2
|
13.9
|
5.4
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
7.6
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
2.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2014
Aris Thessalonikis
0-0
Veria
Oct 2013
Veria
0-1
Aris Thessalonikis
Nov 2012
Aris Thessalonikis
2-1
Veria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.